Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 4.2%

The current population of the Las Vegas, NV-AZ Market is 2,655,503 as of the January 2024 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 4.2%, resulting in a Population of 2,767,573 by January 2029. This percentage change in Population ranks 41st across STI Markets. The Las Vegas, NV-AZ Market currently ranks 41st in overall population, and will rank 40th by January 2029.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -0.8% to 22.6%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 4.2% for Las Vegas, NV-AZ Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 22.6% at 3,254,445. Similarly a population change as low as -0.8% at 2,635,367 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 9.3%

By January 2034 we project the Population of the Las Vegas, NV-AZ Market to be 2,902,076 resulting in a change of 9.3% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 39th across STI Markets. The Las Vegas, NV-AZ Market currently ranks 41st in overall population, and will rank 39th by January 2034.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic