Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 5.1%

The current population of the Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market is 5,462,095 as of the January 2024 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 5.1%, resulting in a Population of 5,738,307 by January 2029. This percentage change in Population ranks 28th across STI Markets. The Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market currently ranks 15th in overall population, and will rank 15th by January 2029.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - 1.9% to 24.6%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 5.1% for Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 24.6% at 6,807,135. Similarly a population change as low as 1.9% at 5,564,074 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 11.2%

By January 2034 we project the Population of the Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market to be 6,075,747 resulting in a change of 11.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 25th across STI Markets. The Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market currently ranks 15th in overall population, and will rank 12th by January 2034.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic