Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 3.7%

The current population of the Amarillo, TX Market is 528,042 as of the January 2024 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 3.7%, resulting in a Population of 547,564 by January 2029. This percentage change in Population ranks 55th across STI Markets. The Amarillo, TX Market currently ranks 141st in overall population, and will rank 142nd by January 2029.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -2.7% to 9.1%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 3.7% for Amarillo, TX Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 9.1% at 576,081. Similarly a population change as low as -2.7% at 513,526 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 8.1%

By January 2034 we project the Population of the Amarillo, TX Market to be 570,922 resulting in a change of 8.1% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 55th across STI Markets. The Amarillo, TX Market currently ranks 141st in overall population, and will rank 142nd by January 2034.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic