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STI: Spending Patterns - Income Classifications

Overview

This page previews the 12 Income Classifications from our white paper on Income Classification. Below is the executive summary of that white paper and away to access the full paper. Further down the page, you’ll see a listing of the 12 Income Classification Curves, with an image on the left and a description of the behavior on the right.

Executive Summary & Download

This white paper introduces a method for classifying product-level consumer spending behavior across income groups using data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Consumer Expenditure Survey (2013–2023). Our goal is to create an interpretable and scalable framework for understanding how income influences spending patterns across hundreds of product categories. Using z-score normalization, k-means clustering, and cosine similarity, we identified 12 recurring behavioral curve types. These curve types successfully classified over 94% of product categories, enabling repeatable and interpretable segmentation by income behavior.

While the taxonomy of curve types remains stable over time, we found that individual product classifications are transitory, reflecting evolving consumer behavior and market conditions. Notably, there is a growing trend toward spending concentration among higher-income groups and more targeted income-group affinity.

This framework enhances the interpretability of our STI: Spending Patterns product and offers actionable insights for researchers in retail, real estate, and geospatial applications seeking to understand income-based demand dynamics at the product level.

Download the STI: Spending Patterns Income Classification White Paper

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The 12 Classifications

Universal — Flat / Uniform curve

Universal — Flat / Uniform

Spending is consistent across all income groups.

Product Examples

This purchasing behavior has not been seen, but remains a theoretical curve type.

Normal — Rising Linear curve

Normal — Rising Linear

Spending steadily rises with income.

Product Examples

Household Furnishings, Pet Expenditures

Low Income Staple — linear increase with peak curve

Low Income Staple — linear increase with peak

Spending increases with income, but a peak in spending occurs in the 25-50k income range.

Product Examples

Televisions, Safe Deposit Box Rentals, Appliance Rentals

Lower Middle Class Staple — linear increase with peak curve

Lower Middle Class Staple — linear increase with peak

Spending increases with income, but a peak in spending occurs in the 50-75k income range.

Product Examples

Prescription Drugs, Games & Apps, Truck Rentals

Middle Class Staple — linear increase with peak curve

Middle Class Staple — linear increase with peak

Spending increases with income, but a peak in spending occurs in the 75-100k income range.

Product Examples

Vitamins, Sewing

Upper Middle Class Staple — linear increase with peak curve

Upper Middle Class Staple — linear increase with peak

Spending increases with income, but a peak in spending occurs in the 100-150k income range.

Product Examples

Candy, Lawn and Garden Supplies, Kids Clothing

Normal Leaning Luxury — Convex Curve

Normal Leaning Luxury — Convex Curve

Spending rises with income at an increasing rate.

Product Examples

Dining Out, Health Insurance, Personal Care Services

Luxury — Increasing then peaks higher curve

Luxury — Increasing then peaks higher

High-income households spend disproportionately more.

Product Examples

Fresh Fruits and Vegetables, Housing Related Expenses, Jewelry

Aspirational — U shaped curve

Aspirational — U shaped

Peak spending in low and high-income groups.

Product Examples

Food Staples (Eggs, Poultry, and Beef), Taxi Fares

Essential — Rising Linear then plateau curve

Essential — Rising Linear then plateau

Necessities that increase with income, but then plateau.

Product Examples

Gasoline, Phone Services, Vehicles

Broad Middle Class Use — n shaped curve

Broad Middle Class Use — n shaped

Spending occurring in middle incomes that doesn’t occur in lower or higher income groups.

Product Examples

Tobacco Products, Lawn and Garden Equipment

Substitutional — decreasing spend curve

Substitutional — decreasing spend

Strongly used in low-income groups, then quickly abandoned.

Product Examples

Canned Fruit and Vegetables, Cola, Laundry and Cleaning Products

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