Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 3.4%

The current population of the Wilmington-Myrtle Beach, SC-NC Market is 1,882,227 as of the July 2024 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 3.4%, resulting in a Population of 1,945,866 by July 2029. This percentage change in Population ranks 60th across STI Markets. The Wilmington-Myrtle Beach, SC-NC Market currently ranks 58th in overall population, and will rank 58th by July 2029.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - 1.8% to 19.2%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 3.4% for Wilmington-Myrtle Beach, SC-NC Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 19.2% at 2,243,075. Similarly a population change as low as 1.8% at 1,916,763 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 7.4%

By July 2034 we project the Population of the Wilmington-Myrtle Beach, SC-NC Market to be 2,021,189 resulting in a change of 7.4% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 59th across STI Markets. The Wilmington-Myrtle Beach, SC-NC Market currently ranks 58th in overall population, and will rank 58th by July 2034.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic