Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 1.2%

The current population of the Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN Market is 828,354 as of the July 2024 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 1.2%, resulting in a Population of 838,168 by July 2029. This percentage change in Population ranks 119th across STI Markets. The Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN Market currently ranks 111th in overall population, and will rank 113th by July 2029.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -0.9% to 7.1%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 1.2% for Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 7.1% at 887,549. Similarly a population change as low as -0.9% at 820,672 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 2.4%

By July 2034 we project the Population of the Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN Market to be 847,955 resulting in a change of 2.4% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 121st across STI Markets. The Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN Market currently ranks 111th in overall population, and will rank 113th by July 2034.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic