Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 1.5%

The current population of the Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market is 783,614 as of the July 2024 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 1.5%, resulting in a Population of 795,237 by July 2029. This percentage change in Population ranks 116th across STI Markets. The Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market currently ranks 117th in overall population, and will rank 116th by July 2029.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -2.3% to 10.9%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 1.5% for Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 10.9% at 868,695. Similarly a population change as low as -2.3% at 765,334 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 3.2%

By July 2034 we project the Population of the Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market to be 808,821 resulting in a change of 3.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 112th across STI Markets. The Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market currently ranks 117th in overall population, and will rank 116th by July 2034.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic