Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 2.4%

The current population of the San Jose-Salinas-Santa Cruz, CA Market is 2,700,941 as of the July 2024 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 2.4%, resulting in a Population of 2,766,041 by July 2029. This percentage change in Population ranks 88th across STI Markets. The San Jose-Salinas-Santa Cruz, CA Market currently ranks 40th in overall population, and will rank 41st by July 2029.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -1.9% to 8.5%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 2.4% for San Jose-Salinas-Santa Cruz, CA Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 8.5% at 2,929,312. Similarly a population change as low as -1.9% at 2,650,757 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 5.2%

By July 2034 we project the Population of the San Jose-Salinas-Santa Cruz, CA Market to be 2,840,477 resulting in a change of 5.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 87th across STI Markets. The San Jose-Salinas-Santa Cruz, CA Market currently ranks 40th in overall population, and will rank 41st by July 2034.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic