Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 4.8%

The current population of the Medford-Ashland, OR Market is 802,756 as of the July 2024 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 4.8%, resulting in a Population of 841,318 by July 2029. This percentage change in Population ranks 31st across STI Markets. The Medford-Ashland, OR Market currently ranks 116th in overall population, and will rank 112th by July 2029.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -1% to 10.4%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 4.8% for Medford-Ashland, OR Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 10.4% at 886,086. Similarly a population change as low as -1% at 794,805 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 10.2%

By July 2034 we project the Population of the Medford-Ashland, OR Market to be 884,238 resulting in a change of 10.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 32nd across STI Markets. The Medford-Ashland, OR Market currently ranks 116th in overall population, and will rank 110th by July 2034.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic